Comments on: It’s No Christmas in Somalia/Ethiopia…It’s War! http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/ Cogitations on sociopolitical and economic issues focusing on Nigeria & Africa Thu, 20 Nov 2008 17:08:39 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5 By: Don Thieme http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1664 Don Thieme Thu, 28 Dec 2006 15:00:32 +0000 http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1664 Apparently, the United States is actively "supporting" Ethiopia in this action. I fear that we may have actually initiated the invasion, although there appears to be a long history of border wars with Somalia having invaded Ethiopia as recently as 1977 in the "Ogaden War." Apparently, the United States is actively “supporting” Ethiopia in this action. I fear that we may have actually initiated the invasion, although there appears to be a long history of border wars with Somalia having invaded Ethiopia as recently as 1977 in the “Ogaden War.”

]]> By: Noli Irritare Leones » Blog Archive » Experimental malaria vaccine, measles and news from Somalia http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1648 Noli Irritare Leones » Blog Archive » Experimental malaria vaccine, measles and news from Somalia Thu, 28 Dec 2006 05:02:01 +0000 http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1648 [...] Grandiose Parlor has a round up. [...] […] Grandiose Parlor has a round up. […]

]]> By: Nilla http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1620 Nilla Wed, 27 Dec 2006 12:15:14 +0000 http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1620 It's just sad :-( It’s just sad :-(

]]> By: Imnakoya http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1597 Imnakoya Tue, 26 Dec 2006 18:19:59 +0000 http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1597 AWW: Your analysis makes the conflict even more senseless. It is a lose-lose situation for both countries! Unbelievably Nuts!! Compliments of the season. See you in Pangolo Junction soon. AWW: Your analysis makes the conflict even more senseless. It is a lose-lose situation for both countries! Unbelievably Nuts!!

Compliments of the season. See you in Pangolo Junction soon.

]]> By: Atala Wala Wala http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1592 Atala Wala Wala Tue, 26 Dec 2006 14:22:24 +0000 http://grandioseparlor.com/2006/12/its-no-christmas-in-somaliaethiopiaits-war/#comment-1592 Technically speaking, it's only the Union of Islamic Courts (a faction that controls a large part of Somalia) that's at war with Ethiopia (which by the way is being assisted by a Somalian faction that calls itself the Provisional Government). I don't think this is a war that the Ethiopians can win. The best case scenario for them is that they end up occupying all the Somalian territory that is currently under the control of the Union of Islamic Courts, and they install the provisional government as a puppet administration. If this happens, I think that this government will be extremely unpopular with Somalians, given that there is a long history of mistrust between Somalia and Ethiopia. So I don't know how long such a government will last. And more importantly, I doubt that Ethiopia has the funds to prosecute such military action, anyway. Technically speaking, it’s only the Union of Islamic Courts (a faction that controls a large part of Somalia) that’s at war with Ethiopia (which by the way is being assisted by a Somalian faction that calls itself the Provisional Government).

I don’t think this is a war that the Ethiopians can win. The best case scenario for them is that they end up occupying all the Somalian territory that is currently under the control of the Union of Islamic Courts, and they install the provisional government as a puppet administration.

If this happens, I think that this government will be extremely unpopular with Somalians, given that there is a long history of mistrust between Somalia and Ethiopia. So I don’t know how long such a government will last. And more importantly, I doubt that Ethiopia has the funds to prosecute such military action, anyway.

]]>